It is doubtless a positive to see that the Xpediator Plc (LON:XPD) share price has gained some 48% in the last three months. But that is minimal compensation for the share price under-performance over the last year. In fact, the price has declined 41% in a year, falling short of the returns you could get by investing in an index fund.
To quote Buffett, ‘Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace…’ One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company’s share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Unhappily, Xpediator had to report a 11% decline in EPS over the last year. The share price decline of 41% is actually more than the EPS drop. This suggests the EPS fall has made some shareholders are more nervous about the business.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Xpediator’s earnings, revenue and cash flow.
A Different Perspective
While Xpediator shareholders are down 39% for the year (even including dividends) , the market itself is up 18%. While the aim is to do better than that, it’s worth recalling that even great long-term investments sometimes underperform for a year or more. It’s great to see a nice little 48% rebound in the last three months. This could just be a bounce because the selling was too aggressive, but fingers crossed it’s the start of a new trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We’ve identified 5 warning signs with Xpediator , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.